AIS algorithm

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AIS algorithm

The Adaptive Importance Sampling (AIS) algorithm is described in (Cheng & Druzdzel 2000). This algorithm offered a breakthrough in the field of stochastic sampling algorithms when first published in 2000. In really difficult cases, such as reasoning under very unlikely evidence in very large networks, the AIS algorithm produced two orders of magnitude smaller error in posterior probability distributions than other sampling algorithms available at that time. Improvement in speed given a desired precision were even more dramatic. The AIS algorithm is based on importance sampling. According to the theory of importance sampling, the closer the sampling distribution is to the (unknown) posterior distribution, the better the results will be. The AIS algorithm successfully approximates its sampling distribution to the posterior distribution by using two cleverly designed heuristic methods in its first stage, which leads to the big improvement in performance stated above.

The AIS algorithm was judged to be one of the most influential developments in the area of Artificial Intelligence in 2005, receiving Honorable Mention in the 2005 IJCAI–JAIR Best Paper Prize. The IJCAI-JAIR (International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research) Best Paper Prize is awarded to an outstanding paper published in JAIR in the preceding five calendar years. For the 2005 competition, papers published between 2000 and 2005 were eligible. The algorithm achieved up to two orders of magnitude better accuracy than any other sampling algorithm available at that time. This algorithm was surpassed in 2003 by another algorithm developed by Prof. Druzdzel's Decision Systems Laboratory, the EPIS algorithm (Yuan & Druzdzel 2003), which sometimes offered an order of magnitude improvement over the AIS algorithm.