Search found 430 matches

by marek [BayesFusion]
Mon Jun 06, 2022 1:51 pm
Forum: GeNIe
Topic: query about noisyMAX algorithm
Replies: 9
Views: 3335

Re: query about noisyMAX algorithm

Don't the formulas in my earlier post help? P(E)=P(E|AB)P(AB)+P(E|A~B)P(A~B)+P(E|~AB)P(~AB)+P(E|~A~B)P(~A~B) vs. P(E)=P(E|AB)P(A)P(B)+P(E|A~B)P(A)P(~B)+P(E|~AB)P(~A)P(B)+P(E|~A~B)P(~A)P(~B) You can construct a simple model in GeNIe and plug in some numbers in the CPTs to see whether the theoretical ...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Fri Jun 03, 2022 7:51 pm
Forum: SMILE
Topic: the probability method in java
Replies: 1
Views: 2497

Re: the probability method in java

What exactly do you mean by a fuzzy Bayesian network? There is a good chance that GeNIe does not implement it. We implement standard Bayesian networks, hybrid Bayesian networks (a mixture of discrete and continuous variables, very close to systems of simultaneous structural equations), dynamic Bayes...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Fri Jun 03, 2022 7:48 pm
Forum: SMILE
Topic: Calculate function
Replies: 1
Views: 2341

Re: Calculate function

What exactly do you mean by a Fuzzy RB?
Cheers,

Marek
by marek [BayesFusion]
Fri Jun 03, 2022 7:47 pm
Forum: GeNIe
Topic: diagnostic values are too small
Replies: 1
Views: 1676

Re: diagnostic values are too small

The meaning of the diagnostic values is purely theoretical and there are no units. They are essentially cross-entropies between a node and the fault in question. When it is 0.006, I agree that it is rather small. The interpretation is that when you learn the value of this node, you will not learn mu...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Sat Apr 30, 2022 11:17 am
Forum: GeNIe
Topic: How to set evidence to a binomial equation node by external counters of successes
Replies: 4
Views: 2516

Re: How to set evidence to a binomial equation node by external counters of successes

Please excuse me for a delay in answering -- I was traveling and had a lot to catch up after the travel. Thank you for the clear explanation of the problem. Now I see what you are after. I think the attached model will do the trick. You will need to enter evidence for the nodes Observation? (either ...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Thu Apr 21, 2022 11:47 am
Forum: GeNIe
Topic: network structure is too complex
Replies: 1
Views: 1887

Re: network structure is too complex

Hi Bahman, I have looked at your network and it is not really Node13 that is the culprit. Please note that your network will not update even if you remove this node. Generally, it is not that easy to predict the size of the junction tree in advance without trying triangulation. Your network is quite...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Wed Apr 20, 2022 5:52 pm
Forum: SMILE
Topic: ERROR
Replies: 5
Views: 3587

Re: ERROR

I’m on the road, so I will be very brief. A small percentage of invalid samples is generally not a problem. Gray arcs tell you that there is something wrong with the definition of the child. They mean, essentially, that they are not necessary (the child is independent of the parent), which means tha...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Wed Apr 20, 2022 7:50 am
Forum: SMILE
Topic: ERROR
Replies: 5
Views: 3587

Re: ERROR

Thank you for the network. I can see that the domain of the node Blood_Sugar is [0.4,4.4] and the definition is Blood_Sugar=Weibull(451.545,0.365594). The samples from your Weibull span between practically zero and almost 400K. Many, many samples fall outside of the interval [0.4,4.4] and this is wh...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Tue Apr 19, 2022 6:56 pm
Forum: SMILE
Topic: ERROR
Replies: 5
Views: 3587

Re: ERROR

Hi Nira, It is hard to say without looking at the node in question and its parents and their definitions (mainly domains). Essentially, GeNIe complains here that there have not been enough samples to derive a precise CPT for the node in question. There may be many reasons for that, so suggesting how...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:55 pm
Forum: GeNIe
Topic: Child node not calculating probability
Replies: 3
Views: 1921

Re: Child node not calculating probability

This is a "million dollars question" :-). Populating CPTs (Conditional Probability Tables) is generally a laborious task. If you have data that you can learn from, it helps a lot -- the tables can be learned from data. If not, then manual labor, getting the numbers from expert knowledge. O...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Fri Apr 08, 2022 9:11 pm
Forum: GeNIe
Topic: Child node not calculating probability
Replies: 3
Views: 1921

Re: Child node not calculating probability

Your screen shot shows that the definition of the node Munkaterulet is trivial, i.e., none of the parents influences/makes any difference to the posterior marginal probability of the node. You can also see it in the color of the incoming arcs, which are all grey. This means that the node Munkaterule...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Wed Apr 06, 2022 8:16 pm
Forum: GeNIe
Topic: conditional equation for evidence
Replies: 1
Views: 1872

Re: conditional equation for evidence

Hi Bahman, I hope I understand the question correctly. My understanding is that C has two parents, dt and Z. Also, there are possibly multiple outcomes of ZD, of which one is "z_1". In that case, your definition of C should be something like: C = If(ZD="z_1",Exponential(1),dt) If...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Mon Apr 04, 2022 1:30 pm
Forum: SMILE
Topic: problem with my HBN
Replies: 5
Views: 3517

Re: problem with my HBN

I'm afraid I don't know the domain well enough to advise here. In social sciences, people often use linear equations but it is often because they don't have a good functional description of the mechanisms working in the system. In physics and often in engineering we do have a good idea what the equa...
by marek [BayesFusion]
Mon Apr 04, 2022 1:27 pm
Forum: SMILE
Topic: Hybrid BN
Replies: 5
Views: 3802

Re: Hybrid BN

You are most welcome! SMILE always uses EM, which more or less (I'm skipping the fine details of the implementation) deteriorates to simple counting when the data set contains all values.
Cheers,

Marek
by marek [BayesFusion]
Sun Apr 03, 2022 4:22 pm
Forum: SMILE
Topic: Hybrid BN
Replies: 5
Views: 3802

Re: Hybrid BN

Hi Nour, I'm afraid I am not aware of any tool that can do that. Parameter (and equation?) learning in a hybrid system is a complex problem and it depends very much on the form of the equation, distributions, etc. No general solution. When we move into that direction, which we definitely will, we wi...