0.2 0.8
0.3 0.7
RainC WindC
PrecautionC RainC WindC
20 70 30 40 60 50 30 40 20 60 20 30 0 10 90 100
Precaution
76 95 171 126
Rain?
320 27 383 66
Wind?
475 129 541 170
Value
287 232 355 274
This diagram assumes that we will know for sure whether there will be rain or not and whether it will be windy. The probability of both events is immaterial. Please note that the decision is pretty easy now -- we know for sure what value we will get out of the decision. Before a decision can be made, you will observe the states of Rain and Wind and the solution depends on these. GeNIe calculates the solution for all the cases of observations.
34 302 565 435